England · Constituency
Hamble Valley
Covers Hedge End · Heathfield
Photograph shows Titchfield, a village in this constituency, not the whole of Hamble Valley.
Your member of parliament
Paul Holmes
ConservativeConservative won Hamble Valley at the 2024 general election with a majority of 4,802 votes, or 8.9 points. A swing of 4.5 points to Liberal Democrat would take it. That makes it safer than 191 of the 650 seats with a published margin, and less safe than the other 459.
Contact them, and see their voting record, on Parliament’s site
How safe is this seat?
Competitive
A majority of 8.9 points, which is larger than 191 of the 650 seats with a published margin.
2024 general election
How the seat voted
Conservative finished ahead of Liberal Democrat by 4,802 votes.
Majority
4,802
8.9% of votes cast.
Turnout
67.9%
+8.2 points on the UK figure of 59.7%.
Candidates
6
54,004 valid votes counted.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | vs UK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul HolmesElected | Conservative | 19,671 | 36.4% | +12.7 |
| Prad Bains | Liberal Democrat | 14,869 | 27.5% | +15.3 |
| Devina Paul | Labour | 8,753 | 16.2% | -17.5 |
| Caroline Gladwin | Reform UK | 8,216 | 15.2% | +0.9 |
| Kate Needham | Green Party | 2,310 | 4.3% | -2.1 |
| Binka Griffin | Hampshire Independents | 185 | 0.3% | +0.3 |
Competitive. Close enough that a modest swing would change hands. The vs UK column is each party’s share here against its own national share, summed from all 650 results. That describes the 2024 general election only: arithmetic on the published count, not a forecast.
Coming soon
Local news for Hamble Valley
We’re working on pulling local reporting into each seat page, from across the spectrum and sourced the same way as everything else here. It isn’t built yet, and we’d rather say so than fill the space.
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