
Upcoming elections
What is scheduled, what is only a deadline, and what is merely expected.The difference matters, so it is stated on every entry.
2 polling days left in this Parliament · Nearest first
- 6May2027
Thursday
Local elections
Fixed dateAll local authorities in Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales, a tranche of English councils, and several directly elected English mayoralties.
Northern Ireland Assembly election
ExpectedExpected to be held alongside the 2027 local elections.
216days awayabout 7 months - 15Aug2029
Wednesday, not a Thursday, which is the tell that this is a backstop rather than a plan
United Kingdom general election
Latest possible dateThe latest possible date under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. A Prime Minister may call one at any point before this.
1,048days awayabout 2.9 years
Contests that shaped this Parliament
By-elections and scheduled contests since 2024: the only real-world tests of the polling picture.

Nigel Farage, returned for Clacton 13 August 2026Farage holds Clacton on 63.3%
Clacton by-election
Nigel Farage resigned his seat on 8 July amid scrutiny of his personal finances and undeclared gifts, then re-contested it. Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, the Greens and Restore Britain all stood aside, leaving the novelty candidate Count Binface as runner-up on 26.9%. Turnout fell 13.6 points to 44.4%; majority 12,784.

Andy Burnham, returned for Makerfield 18 June 2026Burnham returns to the Commons
Makerfield by-election
Held so Andy Burnham could re-enter Parliament and stand for the Labour leadership, party rules requiring any candidate to be an MP. Restore Britain took 6.8% and third place, ahead of the Conservatives.

Hannah Spencer, the Greens' by-election winner 26 February 2026Greens win their first ever Westminster by-election
Gorton and Denton by-election
Hannah Spencer took the seat on 41% with a majority above 4,000: the party had never previously exceeded 10% in a by-election. Reform UK second, Labour third. Green membership passed 200,000 within days.
SourceWikipedia, 2026 in United Kingdom politics and government (26 February 2026)

A polling station in Swansea 7 May 2026Three sets of elections on one day
Local, Scottish Parliament and Senedd elections
UK local elections were held alongside the Scottish Parliament and Welsh Senedd elections: the first nationwide test of the post-2024 party landscape.
SourceWikipedia, 2026 United Kingdom local elections (7 May 2026)
One email each morning
Know the moment the numbers move
The rolling poll average, by-elections as they are called, and what the results mean locally and nationally, in one email each morning.
We’ll ask for your constituency and year of birth next. Both optional, and the year only so we know readers are 13 or over.