England · Constituency
Orpington
Covers Orpington · St Mary Cray · Chelsfield · Petts Wood
Photograph shows Orpington. The constituency reaches beyond the town itself.
Your member of parliament
Gareth Bacon
ConservativeConservative won Orpington at the 2024 general election with a majority of 5,118 votes, or 11.1 points. A swing of 5.5 points to Labour would take it. That makes it safer than 249 of the 650 seats with a published margin, and less safe than the other 401.
Contact them, and see their voting record, on Parliament’s site
How safe is this seat?
Competitive
A majority of 11.1 points, which is larger than 249 of the 650 seats with a published margin.
2024 general election
How the seat voted
Conservative finished ahead of Labour by 5,118 votes.
Majority
5,118
11.1% of votes cast.
Turnout
64.6%
+4.9 points on the UK figure of 59.7%.
Candidates
6
46,073 valid votes counted.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | vs UK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gareth BaconElected | Conservative | 17,504 | 38.0% | +14.3 |
| Ju Owens | Labour | 12,386 | 26.9% | -6.8 |
| Mark James | Reform UK | 8,896 | 19.3% | +5.0 |
| Graeme Casey | Liberal Democrat | 4,728 | 10.3% | -2.0 |
| Seamus McCauley | Green Party | 2,319 | 5.0% | -1.4 |
| John Bright | Social Democratic Party | 240 | 0.5% | +0.4 |
Competitive. Close enough that a modest swing would change hands. The vs UK column is each party’s share here against its own national share, summed from all 650 results. That describes the 2024 general election only: arithmetic on the published count, not a forecast.
Coming soon
Local news for Orpington
We’re working on pulling local reporting into each seat page, from across the spectrum and sourced the same way as everything else here. It isn’t built yet, and we’d rather say so than fill the space.
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